Pre-tourney Rankings
Big West
2015-16


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
68 Hawaii 100.0%   12   25 - 5 13 - 3 25 - 5 13 - 3 +8.1      +2.7 103 +5.4 44 74.3 81 +9.8 56 +8.3 2
98 UC Irvine 0.0%   23 - 9 13 - 3 23 - 9 13 - 3 +5.6      +1.2 148 +4.4 61 67.7 238 +7.6 80 +8.9 1
104 UC Santa Barbara 0.0%   17 - 13 11 - 5 17 - 13 11 - 5 +4.9      +1.1 149 +3.8 79 67.9 235 +4.3 111 +4.6 4
108 Long Beach St. 0.0%   18 - 14 12 - 4 18 - 14 12 - 4 +4.3      +1.9 124 +2.4 112 73.3 93 +6.2 93 +6.8 3
204 Cal Poly 0.0%   8 - 20 4 - 12 8 - 20 4 - 12 -2.8      +1.3 143 -4.1 283 67.0 252 -5.0 241 -7.1 8
234 UC Riverside 0.0%   12 - 19 5 - 11 12 - 19 5 - 11 -4.4      -3.4 254 -1.0 197 69.1 193 -4.9 238 -4.8 7
235 UC Davis 0.0%   9 - 19 6 - 10 9 - 19 6 - 10 -4.5      -7.9 330 +3.4 84 65.5 291 -5.9 252 -2.9 5
238 Cal St. Northridge 0.0%   8 - 20 5 - 11 8 - 20 5 - 11 -4.6      -3.3 251 -1.4 205 75.3 65 -5.8 249 -4.7 6
268 Cal St. Fullerton 0.0%   8 - 20 3 - 13 8 - 20 3 - 13 -6.5      -2.3 226 -4.3 287 71.2 145 -6.2 259 -8.6 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
Hawaii 1.0 100.0
UC Irvine 1.0 100.0
UC Santa Barbara 4.0 100.0
Long Beach St. 3.0 100.0
Cal Poly 8.0 100.0
UC Riverside 6.0 100.0
UC Davis 5.0 100.0
Cal St. Northridge 6.0 100.0
Cal St. Fullerton 9.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Hawaii 13 - 3 100.0
UC Irvine 13 - 3 100.0
UC Santa Barbara 11 - 5 100.0
Long Beach St. 12 - 4 100.0
Cal Poly 4 - 12 100.0
UC Riverside 5 - 11 100.0
UC Davis 6 - 10 100.0
Cal St. Northridge 5 - 11 100.0
Cal St. Fullerton 3 - 13 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Hawaii 100.0% 100.0
UC Irvine 100.0% 100.0
UC Santa Barbara
Long Beach St.
Cal Poly
UC Riverside
UC Davis
Cal St. Northridge
Cal St. Fullerton


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Hawaii 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 12   0.0 5.1 39.9 48.9 6.1
UC Irvine 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%
UC Santa Barbara 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Long Beach St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Cal Poly 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UC Riverside 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UC Davis 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Cal St. Northridge 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Cal St. Fullerton 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Hawaii 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 24.0% 7.1% 1.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
UC Irvine 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UC Santa Barbara 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Long Beach St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cal Poly 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UC Riverside 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UC Davis 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cal St. Northridge 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cal St. Fullerton 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0 0.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0 0.0
2nd Round 24.0% 0.2 76.0 24.0
Sweet Sixteen 7.1% 0.1 92.9 7.1
Elite Eight 1.3% 0.0 98.7 1.3
Final Four 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Final Game 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0